gfs.ai

The ledger

What changed

Every dated fact in the directory — 68 sourced entries and counting: prices as announced, ship windows as promised, deliveries as verified, headlines as they landed. Newest first. The Briefing digests this monthly.

Promises we're watching

Open, on-the-record maker commitments with a date attached. When one resolves — kept, slipped, or quietly rewritten — it moves onto the machine's paper trail, which is append-only.

Due Mid-Sept 2026UBTech U1

First U1 customer deliveries begin mid-September 2026

UBTech, at the U1 Global Launch Event (June 30, 2026)

13,361 orders were claimed at launch. September is when claims become couriered boxes — or don't.

Due By end of Q3 2026Aria

Sale of the Realbotix robotics unit to Onconetix closes

Realbotix Corp. and Onconetix (announced February 12, 2026)

Aria's maker changes hands mid-flight. What happens to pricing, support and the roadmap is the real question.

Due Late 2026NEO

First NEO units delivered to US homes in 2026

1X, at preorder launch (Oct 2025), reiterated at the Hayward factory opening (Apr 2026)

1X is open that early units lean on human teleoperators — delivery is one test, autonomy is another.

Due 2026Figure 03

Figure 03 running in-home pilots

CEO Brett Adcock — in-home alpha testing was first promised for 2025

Production is demonstrably ramping (350+ units by April 2026); verified robots-in-homes evidence is what's still missing.

Due During 2026Optimus

Optimus production line running meaningful volume in 2026

Elon Musk, across Tesla earnings calls — after the 2025 'several thousand doing useful things' target was missed

The paper trail already records one slipped year. We're watching for external customers and third-party evidence, not demo reels.

The bigger arc — reveals, pilots, projections — lives on the timeline.

The record, month by month

July 2026

  1. Clone Alpha

    Promised preorder window lapses

    As of July 2026 the official page still reads 'Pre-orders available in 2025' — no price, no open ordering, no reported deliveries.

    Source

June 2026

  1. UBTech U1

    Launched in Shenzhen; orders pass 13,361

    Three trims priced ¥119,800–¥990,000 at the Global Launch Event; deliveries promised from mid-September, sales restricted to adults.

    Source
  2. News

    UBTech launches the U1 — the first mass-produced lifelike companion robot

    In Shenzhen, UBTech unveiled the UWORLD U1 — a silicone-skinned, full-size humanoid built for companionship, not the factory floor. Male (183 cm) and female (168 cm) bodies, 88 degrees of freedom, on-device emotion-aware AI, and encrypted local memory. It is the first lifelike companion sold at scale: three trims from ¥119,800 (~$17,650) to ¥990,000, adults only, with 13,000-plus preorders on JD.com before a price was even announced. The milestone isn't the tech — it's that you can order one.

    Source
  3. Phoenix

    New CEO, new strategy

    Former MDA chief Daniel Friedmann took over as the company pivoted toward scaling existing technology rather than proving out the humanoid.

    Source
  4. News

    BMW puts Figure 03 on the line at Spartanburg

    BMW is moving Figure 03 into live logistics work at its Spartanburg plant — picking unsorted parts and sequencing them into delivery trolleys — after an 11-month Figure 02 pilot that fed sheet metal for more than 30,000 X3s. It's one of the more concrete humanoid deployments going — a named automaker, a named task, on a real production line. The caveat BMW itself implies is the honest one — this is just-in-sequence logistics, not yet the dexterous assembly humanoids are sold on.

    Source
  5. News

    Agility takes Digit public via SPAC at $2.5B — the field's first honest quote

    Agility Robotics will go public by merging with Churchill Capital Corp XI at a $2.5B valuation, raising about $620M with a Foxconn-led PIPE and listing as "AGLT." It would be the first US-listed pure-play humanoid with real deployments — Digit already logs hours at GXO, Schaeffler, Toyota and Mercado Libre. The SPAC route, and the $2.5B tag against Figure's private $39B, is a tell — this is the grown-up, warehouse end of the field, priced on contracts rather than dreams.

    Source
  6. News

    Neura Robotics raises up to $1.4B — read the "up to"

    Germany's Neura Robotics closed a Series C of up to $1.4B at a roughly $7B valuation, with Nvidia, Amazon, Qualcomm, Tether and the European Investment Bank on the cap table — Europe's biggest humanoid bet yet. Read the "up to," though — much of the headline is tied to performance milestones, so it's a ceiling, not a wire transfer. Even discounted, it confirms the capital flooding humanoids is now a global, multi-pole race.

    Source
  7. UBTech U1

    Preorders open on JD.com

    ¥3,000 (~$450) deposit under the new UWORLD consumer brand — more than 2,100 reservations in the first week, before a final price existed.

    Source

May 2026

  1. News

    Figure says it's now building a humanoid every hour

    Figure's BotQ line now turns out one Figure 03 per hour — up from one a day in under 120 days — and has produced more than 350 units. Throughput, not choreography, is the battleground now, and a claimed 24x ramp is the sector's most credible manufacturing story if it holds. The figure to watch next is how many of those robots are doing paid work versus sitting in inventory.

    Source
  2. News

    A companion robot cut elder loneliness 95% — and that's the worry, too

    New York's rollout of the ElliQ companion robot from Intuition Robotics reports a 95% drop in self-reported loneliness — the strongest real-world evidence yet that a talking machine can move the needle on isolation. But clinicians in the same report warn the device can become an excuse to withdraw further, and that a companion AI tuned to agree with you may reinforce exactly the thinking a vulnerable user needs challenged.

    Source

April 2026

  1. NEO

    Hayward factory opens for full-scale production

    A vertically integrated NEO plant with 10,000-unit annual capacity; first consumer shipments reiterated for 2026.

    Source
  2. News

    1X opens a NEO factory after selling out year one in five days

    1X opened a Hayward, California plant it calls America's first vertically integrated humanoid factory, with capacity for 10,000 NEOs a year. The number that matters sits in the fine print — the entire first-year run sold out within five days of October's preorder launch. Demand for a $20,000 home humanoid is plainly real — even though early NEOs still lean on remote human operators for anything unscripted.

    Source
  3. Figure 03

    Ramp update: one robot per hour, 350+ delivered

    Figure said output scaled 24x in under 120 days, with over 350 third-generation robots delivered.

    Source
  4. News

    Tesla slips Optimus V3 again, and admits it can't forecast output

    On its Q1 call Tesla pushed the Optimus V3 reveal to mid-2026 and confirmed it's tearing out the Fremont Model S/X line to build robots, with production not starting until late July or August. Musk's own framing — output will move "as fast as the least lucky, slowest, dumbest part" of 10,000 — is the most honest thing said about humanoid timelines all year.

    Source
  5. News

    Realbotix to ship 19 robots this spring — to businesses, not bedrooms

    Realbotix says it will deliver 19 robots across March through May, including units to a large telecom client — modest numbers for a public company chasing a Nasdaq uplisting. For the companion segment it's a useful reality check — the most expressive androids on the market still ship in the low double digits, and mostly into hospitality and reception roles, not homes.

    Source

March 2026

  1. News

    Unitree files for a Shanghai IPO — and the prospectus tells the real story

    Unitree filed for a roughly $610M listing on Shanghai's STAR Market, a landmark first for China's humanoid sector. The numbers are the headline, not the valuation. Unitree shipped 5,500 humanoids in 2025 at about $25,000 each, on $250M of revenue — more units than anyone in the West. China's price-led volume play is the mirror image of Silicon Valley's valuation-led one.

    Source
  2. News

    Sunday Robotics raises $165M for a chore robot that doesn't exist yet

    A startup not yet a year old, founded by two ex-Stanford roboticists, hit a $1.15B valuation on "Memo" — a household robot it plans to ship by Thanksgiving but hasn't yet built. Coatue led, with Benchmark and Tiger Global along for the ride. The bet is on manipulation data, not a finished product, and it's one more sign that "home robot" valuations now run years ahead of any home robot.

    Source

February 2026

  1. Aria

    Robotics business sold to Onconetix

    An all-stock deal hands the Realbotix unit behind Aria to Nasdaq-listed Onconetix (operating under the Realbotix name), with closing expected by end of Q3 2026.

    Source
  2. News

    DroidUp's Moya goes viral — and the spec sheet doesn't survive scrutiny

    A female-presenting prototype with claimed body-temperature skin and a "92% human" gait lit up social media — but every figure traces to a single in-house demo.

    Source
  3. Apollo

    Raises $520M more at ~$5B valuation

    Series A passes $935M total, pointed at planned commercial-scale deployment in 2026.

    Source
  4. News

    Apptronik raises $520M for Apollo at a $5B valuation

    The Austin maker extended its Series A to nearly $1B total, funding Apollo's push from warehouse pilots toward commercial scale.

    Source
  5. Moya

    ~$173,000 estimate and late-2026 window reported

    Coverage citing DroidUp put the starting price near ¥1.2M with market entry expected late 2026, healthcare and education first — none of it formally confirmed.

    Source

January 2026

  1. Optimus

    Musk concedes no Optimus does 'useful work' yet

    On the Q4 2025 call, factory units were described as serving learning and data collection — the 2025 'useful things' target was missed.

    Source
  2. Unitree G1

    5,500+ humanoids confirmed delivered in 2025

    Unitree's official clarification: over 5,500 humanoids sold and delivered in 2025 (6,500+ produced) — the G1 genuinely shipped at scale.

    Source
  3. Aria

    CES 2026: robot-to-robot conversation

    Aria and new robot David held a 2+ hour autonomous, unscripted on-device conversation in four languages.

    Source
  4. Atlas

    Hyundai: Atlas on US factory lines from 2028

    Deployment on proven processes at the Georgia Metaplant from 2028, backed by a $26B US investment including a 30,000-unit-a-year robot plant.

    Source
  5. News

    Boston Dynamics' electric Atlas enters limited production

    The all-electric Atlas began limited commercial production in early 2026, with the first units committed to Hyundai and Google DeepMind.

    Source
  6. Atlas

    Production Atlas unveiled at CES 2026

    Shown at Hyundai's media day alongside a Google DeepMind partnership; 2026 production allocations were already fully committed.

    Source
  7. Moya

    January 2026 — Moya unveiled in Shanghai

    DroidUp presented the warm-skinned biomimetic companion at the opening of its Zhangjiang Robotics Valley headquarters.

    Source

October 2025

  1. NEO

    US preorders open: $20,000 or $499/month

    $200 refundable deposit, US deliveries promised for 2026; 1X was open that early operation leans on human-in-the-loop teleoperation.

    Source
  2. News

    1X opens NEO pre-orders at $499 a month

    The first true home humanoid you can reserve — $20,000 outright or $499/month — with US deliveries targeted for late 2026.

    Source
  3. Figure 03

    Figure 03 revealed

    Rebuilt around Helix and the home — soft textiles, wireless charging, tactile fingertips — and designed for BotQ mass production.

    Source

September 2025

  1. News

    Figure raises past $1B at a $39B valuation, and turns toward the home

    The field's richest startup closed a billion-dollar round — then unveiled the home-focused Figure 03, signaling that the living room, not the warehouse, is the real prize.

    Source
  2. Melody

    M-Series shown at IFA Berlin

    39 degrees of freedom and an enhanced eye-camera vision system for real-time recognition and gaze awareness.

    Source
  3. Aria

    Ask Aria web platform goes live

    Anyone can chat with Aria's companionship AI online, in 25 languages.

    Source

June 2025

  1. Optimus

    Optimus program chief departs

    VP Milan Kovac, who led Optimus since 2022, left; delay reports followed — supplier order pauses and a dexterous-hand redesign.

    Source

March 2025

  1. Figure 03

    March 2025 — BotQ factory announced

    First-generation line rated for up to 12,000 humanoids a year, with a claimed path to 100,000 over four years.

    Source

February 2025

  1. Figure 03

    Home alpha testing promised for 2025

    CEO Brett Adcock said Helix's progress pulled in-home testing forward two years.

    Source
  2. NEO

    NEO Gamma revealed

    Refined home prototype in a knitted nylon suit, slated for limited in-home testing; 1X cautioned it was far from commercial scale.

    Source
  3. Clone Alpha

    Protoclone V1 video goes viral

    The faceless prototype (1,000+ Myofibers) twitched to life suspended from a ceiling; preorders were again promised for later in 2025.

    Source
  4. Apollo

    $350M Series A with Google participation

    Co-led by B Capital and Capital Factory, on top of a Google DeepMind robotics partnership.

    Source
  5. Unitree G1

    Open retail sale on JD.com

    Listed at 99,000 yuan (~$13,700) after its Spring Festival Gala fame; the first listing quickly sold out.

    Source

January 2025

  1. Optimus

    'Several thousand' Optimus promised for 2025

    Musk conceded Tesla probably wouldn't hit 10,000 builds in 2025 but promised several thousand 'doing useful things' at Tesla by year-end.

    Source
  2. Aria

    Launch pricing reported

    CES coverage put the bust at $10,000, the modular body at $150,000 and the full standing version at $175,000 — pricing has since shifted to today's F-Series structure (see above).

    Source
  3. Melody

    Price reported around $150,000

    Launch coverage put the modular Melody near $150,000; the M-Series has since been listed from $95,000 (see above).

    Source
  4. Aria

    Aria debuts at CES 2025

    Realbotix's first trade show; the company logged over 2 billion global media impressions.

    Source
  5. Melody

    Melody unveiled at CES 2025

    Open-platform, modular companion that disassembles to pack into a suitcase.

    Source

December 2024

  1. Ameca

    Engineered Arts raises a $10M Series A

    Restructured as a US company to scale production of full-size and desktop Amecas.

    Source
  2. Clone Alpha

    Clone Alpha announced: 279 units, preorders 'in 2025'

    A limited run of 279 home androids, price undisclosed.

    Source

November 2024

  1. Phoenix

    Founding CEO ousted; layoffs follow

    The board separated co-founder Geordie Rose from the company; roughly 30 staff were cut days later.

    Source
  2. Clone Alpha

    Synthetic-muscle torso unveiled

    Video of a bimanual torso with water-powered Myofiber artificial muscles — the tech base promised for Clone Alpha.

    Source

October 2024

  1. Optimus

    'We, Robot' event and $20k–$30k price talk

    The bots that poured drinks and chatted with guests were later confirmed to be human-teleoperated.

    Source

August 2024

  1. NEO

    NEO Beta unveiled

    1X's first public look at its home humanoid — safety, quiet operation and natural interaction over industrial capability.

    Source
  2. Unitree G1

    August 2024 — mass-production version shown

    A refined, production-ready G1, still from $16,000.

    Source

June 2024

  1. Apollo

    GXO Logistics R&D agreement

    Lab proof-of-concept first, then Apollo trials in a US distribution center.

    Source

May 2024

  1. Unitree G1

    G1 unveiled from $16,000

    Introduced at ICRA 2024 in Yokohama — a fraction of the $90,000 H1.

    Source

April 2024

  1. Phoenix

    Gen 7 Phoenix unveiled

    New tasks learnable in under 24 hours versus weeks, with 50% faster assembly and cheaper components, per Sanctuary.

    Source
  2. Atlas

    All-electric Atlas revealed

    A day after retiring the hydraulic Atlas, Boston Dynamics called its successor a product for the first time, with Hyundai plants as proving ground.

    Source

March 2024

  1. Apollo

    Mercedes-Benz pilot announced

    Apollo's first commercial deployment: intralogistics trials in Mercedes plants.

    Source

December 2023

  1. Optimus

    Optimus Gen 2 revealed

    Tesla-designed actuators, 2-DoF neck, 10 kg lighter and 30% faster walking than Gen 1; shown handling eggs.

    Source

August 2023

  1. Apollo

    Apollo unveiled

    Apptronik targeted a commercial release by end of 2024 at 'about the price of a new car' — a window that came and went.

    Source

May 2023

  1. Phoenix

    Phoenix (Gen 6) unveiled

    A 170 cm general-purpose humanoid with 20-DoF haptic hands, powered by the Carbon control system.

    Source

October 2022

  1. Ameca

    October 2022 — joins Dubai's Museum of the Future

    Hired as the museum's first robotic staff member.

    Source

September 2022

  1. Optimus

    First prototype walks at AI Day 2022

    Development unit 'Bumble-C' walked untethered and waved on stage.

    Source
  2. Ameca

    GPT-3 conversation demo

    An unscripted conversation video, answering via OpenAI's GPT-3 — an early glimpse of the LLM-powered social robot.

    Source

January 2022

  1. Ameca

    First public showing at CES 2022

    Ameca met the public at the Venetian Expo after the viral video.

    Source

December 2021

  1. Ameca

    Debut video goes viral

    The 'waking up' clip — Ameca examining its hands — topped 10 million views within days.

    Source

August 2021

  1. Optimus

    Tesla Bot announced at AI Day

    No hardware existed — a dancer in a spandex suit stood in for the robot, and Musk promised a prototype 'sometime next year'.

    Source

The briefing

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